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Yu Darvish’s Win Total

By Ryan Metcalf on March 19, 2012 in MLB

Recently, I was asked about the win total for new Texas Rangers starting pitcher Yu Darvish. It was an easy question since I had thought about it before when the Rangers first acquired him.

There are reports of people predicting 17+ wins from Darvish this year. That seems a little ridiculous considering he’s never seen MLB action before. It’s a very rare feat for someone to record that many wins in a season, let alone more.

The number should be more at 13 after careful consideration. Darvish is a good pitcher, but not great…yet. He has the talent and potential to be very successful, but there will be a learning curve in the first year.

The following year should be the year when everyone expects him to record the 17+ wins, after he has had time to adjust to better hitters and a more talented league.

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Dallas Stars Falling Back to Earth

By Ryan Metcalf on March 18, 2012 in NHL

As much as I’ve liked the Dallas Stars recent run, I can’t help but wonder if it was a fluke. The Stars are not one of the elite teams in the league by any means. They are a border line playoff time when you look at them on paper. However, there are those surprise teams every year.

The Stars are currently in a much needed short break after losing 2 in a row. That’s after they won 6 in a row and 10 out of 11.

Those 2 losses were also ugly losing by a combined score of 9-3. Most of the wins during that impressive stretch were against bad teams as well.

The team still finds themselves in third place, but only one point away from being tied for the 9th seed in the standings. It’s true the division is not that strong, but it still makes my point. The Stars are not a good team, but rather an average team.

If the Stars can win consistently over the final weeks of the season, then they will be in the playoffs. That’s not a question, but a fact. However, I don’t see it happening given the Stars have been unable to consistently win games against big opponents.

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What to do with Josh Hamilton?

By Ryan Metcalf on February 13, 2012 in MLB

Now that the knee-jerk reactions are done, it’s time to seriously take a look at Josh Hamilton. The Texas Rangers clearly have a dilemma on their hands with one of baseball’s most talented athletes. He’s arguably the most popular player in on the Rangers, and certainly among the biggest in the game. However, at some point the Rangers have to ask themselves how much negativity is too much.

The latest relapse is his second strike since joining the Rangers–that we know of. Three strikes and he’s done would follow the conventional wisdom, but should the Rangers wait until that third strike occurs?

Forget the fact he’s a free agent at the end of the year, since there’s no contract in place beyond this year. That’s not the issue. The issue would be the same if he had a big lucrative contract like Albert Pujols or Prince Fielder got with the Angels and Tigers over the last couple months.

It’s no secret the incident cost Josh Hamilton a deal like that. Or is it? Some team will be willing to give Hamilton a chance, but the Rangers can’t overpay for him given the risks.

If a player has too much baggage, it’s time to let him go regardless of the circumstances. Add to the fact it’s not just baggage, it’s an addiction. Hamilton is always going to be one step away from blowing his career completely. It’s simply not worth it.

It’s rumored Josh Hamilton can’t even carry any sort of cash or credit card with him because the addiction is so bad. That’s, without a doubt, a huge liability. How many other professional teams carry around a liability like that?

The Rangers can give Hamilton one last chance, but there better be a clause in his contract covering his addiction to cover the Rangers. The best thing for the Rangers to do is give me a recurring one year contract with incentive based clauses. Anything close to $20 million per season, is also too much money for him.

Any long term deal, the Rangers have to let him go.

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